Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (11-12) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (9-13) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: D-backs lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks, who are coming off a 4-game split at San Francisco, are feast or famine. They are 5-5 in their last 10, and one stretch saw them lose 5-0 and follow that up with a 17-1 win. Arizona took 2 of 3 at home against St. Louis 2 weekends ago. The D-backs are tied for 3rd with 5.7 runs per game and 4th with a .334 OBP.

The Cards were swept at home by the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. They were outscored 16-6 as the Cards repeatedly left the bases loaded and failed to drive in runners in scoring position with less than 2 outs — Five of those 6 runs were scored in the Saturday game. 1B Paul Goldschmidt was dropped from 2nd to 5th in the order Sunday as he’s hitting .179 with 1 homer and 8 RBIs.

Diamondbacks at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadtvs. RHP Lance Lynn

Pfaadt (1-1, 5.32 ERA) makes his 5th start of 2024. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 over 23 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-3 home defeat vs. Chicago Cubs Wednesday
• April 12 vs. Cards: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 9-6 home loss

Lynn (1-0, 2.18 ERA) also makes his 5th start of the season. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 20 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 3-2 victory at Oakland Athletics Tuesday
• Last 5 regular-season starts vs. D-backs: 3-1, 3.30 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 33 K in 30 IP

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Diamondbacks at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:25 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Cardinals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150) | Cardinals +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Diamondbacks at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Lynn’s biggest issue has been giving up the long ball, and he has given up 4 of them this year. Three came in one start, though. Busch Stadium has played like a pitcher’s paradise thus far, and the Cards got to Pfaadt for 6 runs 10 days ago.

Take the CARDINALS (-110)to snap their 4-game losing streak.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m foregoing the spread here and honing in on Lynn. He has gone exactly 6 IP in his last 5 starts against Arizona. He went 7 IP in his last start, and he admitted his game plan was to allow hitters to swing early in counts and get themselves out. He was fine with just 1 K. The Diamondbacks are the 2nd-toughest team to whiff, and I could see a similar gameplan.

Take LANCE LYNN OVER 16.5 OUTS (-120).

Over/Under

This one is dicey, but I’m siding with the Under. These teams hit 2 Unders in Arizona, more of a hitters’ park. Arizona is 4-5-1 O/U in their last 10, and St. Louis is 3-7.

Take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball